Christian McCaffrey is coming off a remarkable 2025 season with a career-high 450 touches.
What happened in 2025?
He averaged at least 21.1 PPR points in five of the six seasons he played at least 16 games.
Christian McCaffrey turned 30, an age when many expect a drop in efficiency from running backs.
Are catches better than carries?
Not all touches are created equally, with eight of the 17 running backs in the 400-touch club having 350 or fewer carries, like McCaffrey, who had 337 carries and 113 receptions.
Of those eight, four stayed healthy and saw no worse than an 11 percent drop in Fantasy production the next season.
The 2,000-yard club
Between 2010 and 2024, there were 28 instances in which a running back amassed at least 2,000 total yards, with only two staying healthy and averaging more PPR points the following year.
Christian McCaffrey was one of the two, averaging 25.3 PPR points per game in 2023 after having 20.9 in 2022 and topping 2,000 total yards in both seasons.
What comes next for Christian McCaffrey?
The question is whether he should be a first-round pick in every draft this year, considering his age and excessive usage in 2025.
Ten of the 17 running backs in the 400-touch club followed up their 400-touch season with an injury, a PPR per-game decline of at least 20%, or both.
Christian McCaffrey's fantasy football outlook for 2026 is uncertain, making him a potential bust to avoid drafting.
The 400-touch club has a 59% fail rate, with six of nine older running backs either declining or getting hurt.
Christian McCaffrey's performance in 2026 will depend on his ability to stay healthy and maintain his efficiency despite his age and excessive usage in 2025.